Premier League title race: Will Arsenal, Liverpool or Manchester City win?

Sunday is shaping up to be a huge day in the Premier League title race, with Liverpool playing Brighton and Manchester
City hosting title rivals Arsenal.

The Reds would go top if they pick up a point or more against the Seagulls – before current leaders Arsenal go to third-placed City.

For the first time since 2014, just one point separates the top three after 28 games played – and it now looks likely that it will go down to the wire.

It will be their first league matches in three weeks – because of the FA Cup quarter-finals and an international break – so let us refresh your memory of how it’s shaping up.

BBC Sport, with data experts Nielsen’s Gracenote, helps to break down the title race match-by-match to see who is projected for glory or heartbreak.

Current table
Premier League table (before 31 March games)
Team Played Points GD GS Form (past 5 games)
1. Arsenal 28 64 46 70 WWWWW
2. Liverpool 28 64 39 65 DWWWD
3. Man City 28 63 35 63 WWWWD
What are the remaining fixtures?
Liverpool Manchester City Arsenal
March Brighton (H) Arsenal (H) Manchester City (A)
April Sheffield United (H) Aston Villa (H) Luton (H)
Manchester United (A) Crystal Palace (A) Brighton (A)
Crystal Palace (H) Luton (H) Aston Villa (H)
Fulham (A) Wolves (A)
Everton (A) Brighton (A) Chelsea (H)
West Ham (A) Nottingham Forest (A) Tottenham (A)
May Tottenham (H) Wolves (H) Bournemouth (H)
Aston Villa (A) Fulham (A) Manchester United (A)
Wolves (H) West Ham (H) Everton (H)
Postponed to date tbc Tottenham (A)

Pep Guardiola’s City side are in typically formidable post-Christmas form as they aim for an English top-flight record of four consecutive titles. They have 10 wins from 13 league games since December’s 1-0 defeat by Aston Villa.

As for Liverpool, the 3-1 loss at Arsenal on 4 February remains their only league defeat in nine games so far in 2024. Jurgen Klopp’s team still has a trip to Goodison Park for the Merseyside derby to fit into a busy schedule.

On Arsenal, although they end this weekend top of the table, Simon Gleave, head of analysis at Nielsen’s Gracenote says their Euro Club Index simulations have the title battle as a “two-horse race”, rating City and Liverpool higher as well as the Gunners having “trickier” fixtures.

He adds: “Arsenal have six matches left against teams in the Premier League’s top half but five of those are away from home. Manchester City and Liverpool also both have six matches remaining against teams in the top half of the Premier League, but four of City’s are at home and half of Liverpool’s are.”Read More

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